northwest A rebuttal to the claims by Phil Watson:poor old Inhere shot down again-too easy
Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Friday April 20 2018 01:49:20 AEST AM
Home Help Login Register
News: Welcome to the Australianelectronicgoldprospectingforum founded in July 2010, an add free totally independent forum with over 70 boards and paid for and managed by the Admin.Total forum Topics: 8,946   Total forum Posts:43,065 Members:719 Total page views:11,023,726 Admin and  forum and domain name owner :marjen at Guests can only see a limited number of boards at present and cannot see any hot links. Guest cannot post and never will be permitted too!Registration of new members must be approved by admin.Anyone known to have any past or present association with Codan/ML or acting on their behalf as a proxy or intermediary  will not have their registration approved. All  original Photos and posts and  original materials displayed on this site are COPYRIGHTED and remain the property of the poster and the  Austalian All messages on this forum express the personal views of the author and should not be interpreted as necessarily being in accord with those of the forum owner and neither the owner of this forum and its domain name nor SMF or the forum software developers or the forum host shall be held responsible for the content of any message. Admin reserves the right to remove any offensive or objectionable posts. No defamatory material or politics/religion or issues of race will be permitted.
Proven forum hackers  and those permitting defamatory content on their "forum" will never  be permitted to join or rejoin the forum.
Why pay $200 /year to be a forum sponsor with all the limitations and restrictions placed on you when you can advertise your products/services(except any Codan/ML products/services) here for FREE just by joining this forum!
HOT Topics!
The need for big deep gold detectors. Over 14,000 views and 37 pages!!! This forum has brought you the QED("the best value for money Pi on the market"!),now to bring you  better coils!I do NOT receive ANY direct or indirect pecuniary or ANY other benefits from the sale or promotion of the QED.Any such assertions are untrue and defamatory!!
Doug is right on  climate change! "HappySAD7000user" and "Inhere"  and "Arizona"and the  village idiot 1halfgram4three are wrong! They are  scientifically illiterate, climate denier easy beats!!!! They are terrified of the truth and too spineless to come here and debate the issue!!!
The changing climate is NOT due to natural variation!
The  enormous body of diverse evidence, the physics and the overwhelming majority of climate scientists publishing in  recognized peer reviewed scientific journals agree that the earth is warming due predominately to  rising atmospheric  levels of anthropogenic C02!

australian electronic gold prospecting  |  Off topic  |  Off topic  |  Climate change  |  Topic: A rebuttal to the claims by Phil Watson:poor old Inhere shot down again-too easy 0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic. « previous next »
Pages: [1] Go Down Print
Author Topic: A rebuttal to the claims by Phil Watson:poor old Inhere shot down again-too easy  (Read 211 times)
Revered Supreme Hero Member
Offline Offline

Posts: 15979

« on: Saturday December 31 2016 09:20:24 AEDT AM »

A rebuttal to the claims by Phil Watson
The Antarctic Climate & Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre, which is based at the University of Tasmania
1. Do you agree with the premise of The Australian's article, which is that analysis of tidal gauges in Australia, as demonstrated in research published by Phil Watson, shows that sea-levels were rising at a decelerating rate in Australia between 1940 and 2000, and that the research paper calls into question the projected rise in sea-levels attributed to climate change?
No - I do not agree that "sea-levels were rising at a decelerating rate in Australia between 1940 and 2000", primarily because the "rate of acceleration or deceleration" is rather poorly defined over any specific time period (it depends very much how you analyse the data – see
There are a some important issues here:
(a) Observations from single tide gauges show considerable variability in time (as evidenced by Watson's plots, even though they have been smoothed with a 20-year running average). It is generally acknowledged that in order to derive a meaningful TREND (let alone an ACCELERATION (or change in trend), one needs 50 to 80 years of record - so, while Watson has enough data to estimate the trend, the validity of any estimated acceleration is open to question.
(b) The concepts of "acceleration" and "deceleration" depend very much on the period of time involved. For example, if one goes back in time and includes data from the late 19th century, an ACCELERATION is evident (see   
and    (bottom graph) for information on global-average sea-level rise) - starting the record in 1930 or 1940 means that any acceleration will be small or even negative. Also, if you only looked at Watson's data from 1970, you would get a strong ACCELERATION.!!!
How Not to Analyze Tide Gauge Data
Posted on July 22, 2011 | 110 Comments
There’s another paper about sea level rise in the Journal of Coastal Research by P. J. Watson (2011, Is There Evidence Yet of Acceleration in Mean Sea Level Rise around Mainland Australia?, Journal of Coastal Research, 27, 368–377). According to this powerpoint, Watson is genuinely concerned about sea level rise due to global warming and argues forcefully for addressing the issue. His primary interest seems to be: to help those responsible for protecting Australia’s coastline be as well prepared as possible for the impending sea level rise. That’s a noble motive, and I wish him success. But in spite of the best of intentions, I can’t put much stock in Watson’s published results because it’s clear that he is no data analyst.
doug smile

All posts on this forum are the personal views of the author and should  not necessarily be  interpreted as those of Admin.
When is 1halfgram4three (a proven hacker and  village idiot!) going to stop telling lies on his “forum”?
Pages: [1] Go Up Print 
australian electronic gold prospecting  |  Off topic  |  Off topic  |  Climate change  |  Topic: A rebuttal to the claims by Phil Watson:poor old Inhere shot down again-too easy « previous next »
Jump to:  

Login with username, password and session length

Powered by MySQL Powered by PHP Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2006-2009, Simple Machines
Simple Audio Video Embedder

BisdakworldClassic design by JV PACO-IN
Valid XHTML 1.0! Valid CSS!